3239. The ethics of wanted and unwanted effects of government policies to handle the worldwide covid19 pandemic
Invited abstract in session MC-20: Ethics and OR, societal complexity and public service, stream OR and Ethics.
Monday, 12:30-14:00Room: 45 (building: 116)
Authors (first author is the speaker)
| 1. | Cor van Dijkum
|
| Amsterdam University, NOSMO, Sokrates Consultancy |
Abstract
Using systems theory and the tools of systems dynamics the worldwide spread of the covid19 pandemic can be analyzed as an effect of intrusions into ecosystems. The spreading of the covid19 virus started in 2019 in China as a local intrusion into an ecosystem. Subsequently the spreading of the virus in the word in 2019, 2020 and 2021 can be explained from this perspective. Thereby taking into account the globalizing of our world and the increasing influence of social media in the communication about and handling of the pandemics. The variables that explained the expanse of the pandemic are summarized in a global systems dynamic map. In this context the effect and efficacy of the governance policies to handle the pandemic is analyzed. Thereby taking into account economic inequality in and between countries and associated social unwanted effects on the present and next generation. Also the unexpected and disturbing outcomes of linear and nonlinear feedback loops on the way people reacted on government policies and the role social media played is studied. Thereby at last focusing on the ethical questions concerning wanted and unwanted effects of those policies. As a case study, with the aid of the system dynamics map a simulation model is developed to evaluate the policy of the government in the Netherlands and develop for this case alternative scenario’s, with a better balance between wanted and unwanted effects on the population, thereby addressing ethical questions.
Keywords
- Complex Societal Problems
- System Dynamics and Theory
- Ethics
Status: accepted
Back to the list of papers